FC Hockey is fairly optimistic, noting a deceptive shot release and a commitment to two-way play. ![]() The Athletic's Corey Pronman ranks his shot as fifth in this loaded class, and notes that his track record suggests he can stick down the middle, even if his eyes don't quite go there. Too many nights where he just blended in."īut again, if this brings a talented player to the Wild's pick, Minnesota might roll those dice. But a scout told Elite Prospects, "I don't think it was unfair to expect a bit more from him this season. Yager's points-per-game overall improved, as did his playoff numbers (six goals, 16 points in 10 games). He scored 34 goals in 63 games at age-16, but dropped to 28 in 67 games leading up to the draft. Others might see a 5'11" player who may have to shift to wing in the NHL and didn't make a ton of progress over the last season. But if Yager lands with Minnesota, they'll have something they've never had before: a top-6 caliber, right-shot centerman who can fill the net. How many times does a team get to draft a center with a high-end shot at Pick 21? Not many. We've seen the Moose Jaw center plummet from a consensus top-10 pick at the start of the year to someone who can drop to the 20s. A few days ago, his odds of falling to Pick 21 were just under 19%. Most of these players are seeing their reputations on the upswing, but Yager is one of the few on this list who is taking a step back. And if the Wild are going to use one of their second-round picks as ammunition to move up, these may well be the players they do it for. So 75-90% of the time, none of these players won't be available.īut the point is: There is a chance. We're looking for players in the 10-25% range of doing that. Players who are generally slated to go near the top-10, with an outside chance at sliding down to 21st overall. While there are many interesting prospects who have a good chance or are even likely to be available at 21, we're looking for long shots. Iyer's been tracking the 2023 class' draft stock over the past year and released his projections guessing where players might land on draft day. The tool we're going to use to try figuring that out is Prashanth Iyer's Draft Pick Probabilities model. The question is, who is that player going to be? And who should you hope for it to be? But who cares about that technicality? The Wild have one of the best goalie prospects in the world. They were technically correct Minnesota had to trade up to No. In 2021, most pundits thought there was no chance elite goalie prospect Jesper Wallstedt would fall to the Wild at Pick 22. That sounds like pie-in-the-sky thinking, but it happens. With the sheer amount of talent available, the shifting sands of team priorities and the variance of teams' draft boards could nudge a player who'd go top-10, or maybe even top-5, in a shallower pool into striking range for the Minnesota Wild. Draft pundits are heralding the 2023 class as a historically deep draft. ![]() Why does Kyle Connor or Jakob Chychrun or Cole Caufield drop to the middle of the first round? And who's going to be the next one of those guys? Your guess is as good as mine.īut someone might tumble this year. Highly-touted players can fall deep into the first round, and it's hard to say who might tumble down the board.
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